Texas St-San Marcos at Texas Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Texas by 25.11
TOTAL POINTS
57
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Texas St
Texas 
|
86
B
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
83
B-
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
87
B+
|
Offensive |
97
A+
|
|
80
B-
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
99
A+
|
|
79
C+
|
SoR (Current) |
97
A+
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
RANKINGS
Texas St
Texas
| 47 #49 overall |
Overall | 4 #4 overall |
| 58 #58 overall |
Power | 6 #6 overall |
| 43 #43 overall |
Offensive | 8 #8 overall |
| 66 #66 overall |
Defensive | 2 #2 overall |
| 28 #28 overall |
SoS (Current) | 1 #1 overall |
| 56 #56 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 1 #1 overall |
Texas#493%
Texas St-San Marcos#477%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Texas 93%, Texas St-San Marcos 7% at Texas.
Texas' win probability against Texas St-San Marcos is trending down — from 97% to 87% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas' win probability against Texas St-San Marcos is trending down — from 98% to 90% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas' win probability against Texas St-San Marcos is trending down — from 98% to 93% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas favored
Texas St-San Marcos favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Texas St-San Marcos | Neutral | At Texas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 1 | 86% | 89% | 92% |
| Wk 2 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 3 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 4 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 5 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 6 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 7 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 8 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 9 | 87% | 90% | 93% |
RECORDS
Texas St
Texas
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Overall |
5-2 (71.4%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Away |
1-0 (100%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-2 (71.4%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Texas St
Texas
| #54 North Texas | Best Win | #6 Ohio State |
| #107 San Diego St | Worst Loss | #19 Oklahoma |
| 53 pts vs #153 Incarnate Word | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #49 Texas St-San Marcos |
| 52 pts vs #4 Texas | Largest MOD | 3 pts vs #12 Florida |
OTHER STATISTICS
Texas St
Texas
| 37.1 | Points per Game | 30.7 |
| 30 | Points Against | 19.1 |
| 44.8 | Home PPG | 34.2 |
| 24 | Home PA | 18 |
| 18 | Away PPG | 20 |
| 45 | Away PA | 17 |
| 29-23 | Opponent Record | 37-14 |
| 85 | Avg Opponent Rank | 20 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Texas St
Texas
| Oct 24 | vs Utah St (2-5) | W20-17 | Oct 24 | vs #13 Mississippi (5-2) | W34-27 |
| Oct 15 | vs Colorado St (3-4) | W66-27 | Oct 17 | vs #12 Florida (5-2) | L24-27 |
| Oct 3 | at San Diego St (3-5) | L29-31 | Oct 10 | #19 Oklahoma (4-3) | L24-27 |
| Sep 26 | vs Incarnate Word (4-4) | W63-10 | Sep 26 | at #20 Tennessee (6-2) | W20-17 |
| Sep 19 | vs North Texas (5-2) | W49-35 | Sep 19 | vs #21 Texas-San Antonio (7-1) | W30-6 |
| Sep 12 | vs #21 Texas-San Antonio (7-1) | L26-31 | Sep 12 | vs #6 Ohio State (6-1) | W24-23 |
| Sep 5 | at #4 Texas (5-2) | L7-59 | Sep 5 | vs Texas St-San Marcos (4-3) | W59-7 |