Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Texas 52%, Ohio State 48% at Texas.
Texas' win probability against Ohio State has swung between 38% and 51% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 39% now.
Texas' win probability against Ohio State has swung between 44% and 57% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 45% now.
Texas' win probability against Ohio State has swung between 51% and 63% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.