McNeese St at Texas-Rio Grande Valley Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Texas-Rio Grande Valley by 7.78
TOTAL POINTS
48
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
McNeese St
UTRGV 
|
80
B-
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
80
B-
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
79
C+
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
81
B-
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
84
B
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
85
B
|
|
77
C+
|
SoR (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
85
B
|
RANKINGS
McNeese St
UTRGV
| 64 #286 overall |
Overall | 50 #238 overall |
| 64 #207 overall |
Power | 49 #190 overall |
| 67 #217 overall |
Offensive | 58 #205 overall |
| 61 #201 overall |
Defensive | 35 #172 overall |
| 41 #180 overall |
SoS (Current) | 49 #190 overall |
| 36 #174 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 46 #187 overall |
Texas-Rio Grande Valley#5068%
McNeese St#6432%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Texas-Rio Grande Valley 68%, McNeese St 32% at Texas-Rio Grande Valley.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley's win probability against McNeese St is trending up — from 50% to 56% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley's win probability against McNeese St has swung between 54% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley's win probability against McNeese St has swung between 60% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley favored
McNeese St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At McNeese St | Neutral | At Texas-Rio Grande Valley |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 66% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 1 | 68% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 2 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 3 | 50% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 4 | 60% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 5 | 60% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 6 | 51% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 7 | 51% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 8 | 48% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 9 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
RECORDS
McNeese St
UTRGV
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Overall |
4-4 (50%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
1-4 (20%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
McNeese St
UTRGV
| #413 East Texas A&M | Best Win | #197 SE Louisiana |
| #238 Texas-Rio Grande Valley | Worst Loss | #413 East Texas A&M |
| 52 pts vs #520 Texas Wesleyan | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #386 Texas-Permian Basin |
| 49 pts vs #9 LSU | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #21 Texas-San Antonio |
OTHER STATISTICS
McNeese St
UTRGV
| 23 | Points per Game | 23.9 |
| 29.8 | Points Against | 22.1 |
| 32.5 | Home PPG | 28 |
| 22.3 | Home PA | 4.3 |
| 13.5 | Away PPG | 21.4 |
| 37.3 | Away PA | 32.8 |
| 36-28 | Opponent Record | 30-34 |
| 252.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 266.4 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
McNeese St
UTRGV
| Oct 24 | at Incarnate Word (4-4) | L6-38 | Oct 24 | at Central Arkansas (2-6) | W30-27 |
| Oct 17 | at Northwestern St (0-8) | W24-21 | Oct 17 | at Incarnate Word (4-4) | L16-41 |
| Oct 3 | at #9 LSU (6-2) | L14-63 | Oct 10 | vs SE Louisiana (4-4) | W13-3 |
| Sep 26 | vs East Texas A&M (2-6) | W27-24 | Oct 3 | at East Texas A&M (2-6) | L17-20 |
| Sep 19 | at Texas-Rio Grande Valley (4-4) | L10-27 | Sep 19 | vs McNeese St (3-5) | W27-10 |
| Sep 12 | vs Tarleton St (8-0) | L24-27 | Sep 12 | at Nicholls St (3-5) | L28-31 |
| Sep 5 | vs Texas Wesleyan (4-4) | W52-0 | Sep 5 | at #21 Texas-San Antonio (7-1) | L16-45 |
| Aug 29 | vs Stephen F. Austin (8-0) | L27-38 | Aug 29 | vs Texas-Permian Basin (5-3) | W44-0 |