Lamar at Texas-Rio Grande Valley Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Lamar by 6.83
TOTAL POINTS
48
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
UTRGV
Lamar 
|
84
B
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
81
B-
|
Offensive |
93
A-
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
94
A
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Current) |
89
B+
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
89
B+
|
|
83
B-
|
SoR (Current) |
95
A
|
|
84
B
|
SoR (Full Season) |
96
A
|
RANKINGS
UTRGV
Lamar
| 50 #238 overall |
Overall | 11 #118 overall |
| 49 #190 overall |
Power | 20 #152 overall |
| 58 #205 overall |
Offensive | 21 #153 overall |
| 35 #172 overall |
Defensive | 17 #147 overall |
| 49 #190 overall |
SoS (Current) | 32 #169 overall |
| 46 #187 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 32 #170 overall |
Lamar#1166%
Texas-Rio Grande Valley#5034%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Lamar 66%, Texas-Rio Grande Valley 34% at Texas-Rio Grande Valley.
Lamar's win probability against Texas-Rio Grande Valley is trending up — from 40% to 66% over the last 6 weeks.
Lamar's win probability against Texas-Rio Grande Valley is trending up — from 46% to 71% over the last 6 weeks.
Lamar's win probability against Texas-Rio Grande Valley is trending up — from 52% to 76% over the last 6 weeks.
Lamar favored
Texas-Rio Grande Valley favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Texas-Rio Grande Valley | Neutral | At Lamar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 42% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 1 | 37% | 43% | 49% |
| Wk 2 | 34% | 39% | 46% |
| Wk 3 | 40% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 4 | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 5 | 34% | 40% | 46% |
| Wk 6 | 43% | 49% | 55% |
| Wk 7 | 45% | 52% | 58% |
| Wk 8 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 9 | 66% | 71% | 76% |
RECORDS
UTRGV
Lamar
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-4 (50%) |
Overall |
6-2 (75%) |
|
3-0 (100%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Away |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
3-0 (100%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-2 (60%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-0 (100%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
UTRGV
Lamar
| #197 SE Louisiana | Best Win | #131 Abilene Christian |
| #413 East Texas A&M | Worst Loss | #197 SE Louisiana |
| 44 pts vs #386 Texas-Permian Basin | Largest MOV | 31 pts vs #341 Nicholls St |
| 29 pts vs #21 Texas-San Antonio | Largest MOD | 31 pts vs #108 Louisiana-Lafayette |
OTHER STATISTICS
UTRGV
Lamar
| 23.9 | Points per Game | 30.8 |
| 22.1 | Points Against | 22.5 |
| 28 | Home PPG | 34 |
| 4.3 | Home PA | 18.3 |
| 21.4 | Away PPG | 27.5 |
| 32.8 | Away PA | 26.8 |
| 30-34 | Opponent Record | 27-37 |
| 266.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 239 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UTRGV
Lamar
| Oct 24 | at Central Arkansas (2-6) | W30-27 | Oct 24 | vs Houston Christian (4-4) | W35-10 |
| Oct 17 | at Incarnate Word (4-4) | L16-41 | Oct 17 | at SE Louisiana (4-4) | L31-34 |
| Oct 10 | vs SE Louisiana (4-4) | W13-3 | Oct 10 | vs Incarnate Word (4-4) | W38-35 |
| Oct 3 | at East Texas A&M (2-6) | L17-20 | Oct 3 | vs Northwestern St (0-8) | W42-14 |
| Sep 19 | vs McNeese St (3-5) | W27-10 | Sep 26 | at Nicholls St (3-5) | W49-18 |
| Sep 12 | at Nicholls St (3-5) | L28-31 | Sep 12 | at Idaho (3-5) | W23-17 |
| Sep 5 | at #21 Texas-San Antonio (7-1) | L16-45 | Sep 5 | at Louisiana-Lafayette (5-3) | L7-38 |
| Aug 29 | vs Texas-Permian Basin (5-3) | W44-0 | Aug 29 | vs Abilene Christian (4-4) | W21-14 |