Nelson TX at Texas Wesleyan Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Texas Wesleyan by 21.08
TOTAL POINTS
61
UPDATED
Sunday, November 1, 2026
See this week's NAIA predictions
RATINGS
Nelson
Texas Wesleyan 
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
70
C-
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
69
D+
|
Offensive |
85
B
|
|
71
C-
|
Defensive |
77
C+
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Current) |
87
B+
|
|
86
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
|
66
D
|
SoR (Current) |
83
B-
|
|
65
D
|
SoR (Full Season) |
85
B
|
RANKINGS
Nelson
Texas Wesleyan
| 70 #649 overall |
Overall | 35 #482 overall |
| 71 #633 overall |
Power | 43 #520 overall |
| 74 #636 overall |
Offensive | 34 #467 overall |
| 69 #627 overall |
Defensive | 55 #569 overall |
| 10 #433 overall |
SoS (Current) | 31 #512 overall |
| 32 #518 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 22 #486 overall |
Texas Wesleyan#3589%Nelson TX#7011%Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Texas Wesleyan 89%, Nelson TX 11% at Texas Wesleyan.
Texas Wesleyan's win probability against Nelson TX is trending up — from 72% to 82% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas Wesleyan's win probability against Nelson TX is trending up — from 77% to 86% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas Wesleyan's win probability against Nelson TX is trending up — from 81% to 89% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas Wesleyan favored
Nelson TX favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Nelson TX | Neutral | At Texas Wesleyan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 95% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 1 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 2 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 3 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 4 | 72% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 5 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 6 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 7 | 84% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 8 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 9 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 10 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
RECORDS
Nelson
Texas Wesleyan
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-8 (11.1%) |
Overall |
5-4 (55.6%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Home |
3-2 (60%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus NAIA Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-7 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-2 (0%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-2 (71.4%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Nelson
Texas Wesleyan
| #662 Arkansas Baptist | Best Win | #543 OK Panhandle St |
| #573 MidAmerica Nazarene | Worst Loss | #315 Central Oklahoma |
| 7 pts vs #662 Arkansas Baptist | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #648 Langston |
| 52 pts vs #148 Hardin-Simmons | Largest MOD | 52 pts vs #227 McNeese St |
OTHER STATISTICS
Nelson
Texas Wesleyan
| 17.9 | Points per Game | 34 |
| 37.1 | Points Against | 34.1 |
| 18.7 | Home PPG | 35.2 |
| 36.3 | Home PA | 32.2 |
| 16.3 | Away PPG | 32.5 |
| 38.7 | Away PA | 36.5 |
| 50-28 | Opponent Record | 32-45 |
| 434.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 477 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 6 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Nelson
Texas Wesleyan
| Oct 31 | vs Wayland Baptist (6-3) | L20-45 | Oct 31 | vs OK Panhandle St (4-5) | W50-28 |
| Oct 24 | vs Hardin-Simmons (7-0) | L0-52 | Oct 24 | at Langston (2-6) | W69-25 |
| Oct 17 | vs Louisiana Christian (8-1) | L23-31 | Oct 17 | vs Mary Hardin-Baylor (7-1) | L22-38 |
| Oct 10 | vs OK Panhandle St (4-5) | L28-35 | Oct 10 | at Louisiana Christian (8-1) | L27-42 |
| Oct 3 | at Howard Payne (5-2) | L16-44 | Oct 3 | at Arkansas Baptist (2-8) | W34-27 |
| Sep 26 | at Texas Wesleyan (5-4) | L16-41 | Sep 26 | vs Nelson TX (1-8) | W41-16 |
| Sep 19 | vs Arkansas Baptist (2-8) | W35-28 | Sep 12 | vs Texas College (0-6) | W56-20 |
| Sep 12 | at Ottawa AZ (7-1) | L17-31 | Sep 5 | at McNeese St (4-5) | L0-52 |
| Aug 29 | vs MidAmerica Nazarene (6-4) | L6-27 | Aug 27 | vs Central Oklahoma (4-5) | L7-59 |