Nelson TX at Texas Wesleyan Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Texas Wesleyan by 18.41
TOTAL POINTS
59
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's NAIA predictions
RATINGS
Nelson
Texas Wesleyan 
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
82
B-
|
|
70
C-
|
Power |
81
B-
|
|
68
D+
|
Offensive |
83
B-
|
|
71
C-
|
Defensive |
76
C
|
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
85
B
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
|
67
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
81
B-
|
|
68
D+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
84
B
|
RANKINGS
Nelson
Texas Wesleyan
| 69 #647 overall |
Overall | 42 #520 overall |
| 71 #621 overall |
Power | 45 #527 overall |
| 76 #633 overall |
Offensive | 39 #482 overall |
| 69 #617 overall |
Defensive | 57 #575 overall |
| 7 #416 overall |
SoS (Current) | 35 #528 overall |
| 17 #468 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 29 #506 overall |
Texas Wesleyan#4286%Nelson TX#6914%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Texas Wesleyan 86%, Nelson TX 14% at Texas Wesleyan.
Texas Wesleyan's win probability against Nelson TX has swung between 66% and 84% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 78% now.
Texas Wesleyan's win probability against Nelson TX has swung between 72% and 87% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.
Texas Wesleyan's win probability against Nelson TX has swung between 77% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 86% now.
Texas Wesleyan favored
Nelson TX favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Nelson TX | Neutral | At Texas Wesleyan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 95% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 1 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 2 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 3 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 4 | 72% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 5 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 6 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 7 | 84% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 8 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 9 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
RECORDS
Nelson
Texas Wesleyan
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-7 (12.5%) |
Overall |
4-4 (50%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Home |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus NAIA Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-7 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-2 (0%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Nelson
Texas Wesleyan
| #678 Arkansas Baptist | Best Win | #647 Nelson TX |
| #557 MidAmerica Nazarene | Worst Loss | #350 Central Oklahoma |
| 7 pts vs #678 Arkansas Baptist | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #674 Langston |
| 52 pts vs #146 Hardin-Simmons | Largest MOD | 52 pts vs #286 McNeese St |
OTHER STATISTICS
Nelson
Texas Wesleyan
| 17.6 | Points per Game | 32 |
| 36.1 | Points Against | 34.9 |
| 18.4 | Home PPG | 31.5 |
| 34.6 | Home PA | 33.3 |
| 16.3 | Away PPG | 32.5 |
| 38.7 | Away PA | 36.5 |
| 40-21 | Opponent Record | 25-36 |
| 425 | Avg Opponent Rank | 482.8 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Nelson
Texas Wesleyan
| Oct 24 | vs Hardin-Simmons (6-0) | L0-52 | Oct 24 | at Langston (2-5) | W69-25 |
| Oct 17 | vs Louisiana Christian (8-1) | L23-31 | Oct 17 | vs Mary Hardin-Baylor (6-1) | L22-38 |
| Oct 10 | vs OK Panhandle St (4-4) | L28-35 | Oct 10 | at Louisiana Christian (8-1) | L27-42 |
| Oct 3 | at Howard Payne (5-1) | L16-44 | Oct 3 | at Arkansas Baptist (2-7) | W34-27 |
| Sep 26 | at Texas Wesleyan (4-4) | L16-41 | Sep 26 | vs Nelson TX (1-7) | W41-16 |
| Sep 19 | vs Arkansas Baptist (2-7) | W35-28 | Sep 12 | vs Texas College (0-5) | W56-20 |
| Sep 12 | at Ottawa AZ (5-1) | L17-31 | Sep 5 | at McNeese St (3-5) | L0-52 |
| Aug 29 | vs MidAmerica Nazarene (6-3) | L6-27 | Aug 27 | vs Central Oklahoma (3-5) | L7-59 |