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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Texas Tech 50%, Arizona 50% at Texas Tech.
Texas Tech's win probability against Arizona has swung between 38% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 38% now.
Texas Tech's win probability against Arizona has swung between 44% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 44% now.
Texas Tech's win probability against Arizona is trending down — from 64% to 50% over the last 6 weeks.