Utah St at Texas St-San Marcos Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Texas St-San Marcos by 16.61
TOTAL POINTS
51
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Utah St
Texas St 
|
68
D+
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
72
C-
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
67
D+
|
Offensive |
87
B+
|
|
78
C+
|
Defensive |
80
B-
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
81
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
83
B-
|
|
69
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
70
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
80
B-
|
RANKINGS
Utah St
Texas St
| 111 #170 overall |
Overall | 47 #49 overall |
| 95 #97 overall |
Power | 58 #58 overall |
| 113 #123 overall |
Offensive | 43 #43 overall |
| 74 #74 overall |
Defensive | 66 #66 overall |
| 67 #67 overall |
SoS (Current) | 28 #28 overall |
| 64 #64 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 56 #56 overall |
Texas St-San Marcos#4783%
Utah St#11117%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Texas St-San Marcos 83%, Utah St 17% at Texas St-San Marcos.
Texas St-San Marcos' win probability against Utah St is trending up — from 37% to 75% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas St-San Marcos' win probability against Utah St is trending up — from 43% to 79% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas St-San Marcos' win probability against Utah St is trending up — from 49% to 83% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas St-San Marcos favored
Utah St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Utah St | Neutral | At Texas St-San Marcos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 45% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 1 | 44% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 2 | 47% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 3 | 37% | 43% | 49% |
| Wk 4 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 5 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 6 | 68% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 7 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 8 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 9 | 75% | 79% | 83% |
RECORDS
Utah St
Texas St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-5 (28.6%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Away |
0-2 (0%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Utah St
Texas St
| #254 Troy | Best Win | #54 North Texas |
| #190 Idaho St | Worst Loss | #107 San Diego St |
| 11 pts vs #254 Troy | Largest MOV | 53 pts vs #153 Incarnate Word |
| 33 pts vs #5 Utah | Largest MOD | 52 pts vs #4 Texas |
OTHER STATISTICS
Utah St
Texas St
| 14.9 | Points per Game | 37.1 |
| 23 | Points Against | 30 |
| 18.3 | Home PPG | 44.8 |
| 18.3 | Home PA | 24 |
| 12.3 | Away PPG | 18 |
| 26.5 | Away PA | 45 |
| 30-21 | Opponent Record | 29-23 |
| 123.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 85 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Utah St
Texas St
| Oct 24 | at Texas St-San Marcos (4-3) | L17-20 | Oct 24 | vs Utah St (2-5) | W20-17 |
| Oct 9 | vs Washington St (1-7) | W17-16 | Oct 15 | vs Colorado St (3-4) | W66-27 |
| Oct 3 | at #24 Boise St (6-1) | L18-37 | Oct 3 | at San Diego St (3-5) | L29-31 |
| Sep 26 | vs Troy (3-4) | W21-10 | Sep 26 | vs Incarnate Word (4-4) | W63-10 |
| Sep 19 | at #5 Utah (7-0) | L0-33 | Sep 19 | vs North Texas (5-2) | W49-35 |
| Sep 12 | at Washington (4-3) | L14-16 | Sep 12 | vs #21 Texas-San Antonio (7-1) | L26-31 |
| Sep 5 | vs Idaho St (5-3) | L17-29 | Sep 5 | at #4 Texas (5-2) | L7-59 |