North Texas at Texas St-San Marcos Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Texas by 10.18
TOTAL POINTS
61
UPDATED
Sunday, September 13, 2026
RATINGS
Texas St
North Texas 
|
74
C
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
71
C-
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
75
C
|
Offensive |
88
B+
|
|
67
D+
|
Defensive |
78
C+
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
96
A
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Future) |
74
C
|
RANKINGS
Texas St
North Texas
| 88 #101 overall |
Overall | 55 #57 overall |
| 99 #103 overall |
Power | 55 #55 overall |
| 87 #90 overall |
Offensive | 41 #41 overall |
| 114 #119 overall |
Defensive | 74 #75 overall |
| 3 #3 overall |
SoS (Current) | 12 #14 overall |
| 71 #71 overall |
SoS (Future) | 89 #89 overall |
North Texas#5572%
Texas St-San Marcos#8828%Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: North Texas 72%, Texas St-San Marcos 28% at Texas St-San Marcos.
North Texas' win probability against Texas St-San Marcos has swung between 47% and 79% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 72% now.
North Texas' win probability against Texas St-San Marcos has swung between 53% and 83% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 77% now.
North Texas' win probability against Texas St-San Marcos has swung between 59% and 87% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 82% now.
North Texas favored
Texas St-San Marcos favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Texas St-San Marcos | Neutral | At North Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 48% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 47% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
RECORDS
Texas St
North Texas
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Overall |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Home |
1-0 (100%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Away |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
1-1 (50%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Texas St
North Texas
| None | Best Win | #100 UNLV |
| #58 Texas-San Antonio | Worst Loss | #4 Indiana |
| None | Largest MOV | 38 pts vs #100 UNLV |
| 52 pts vs #1 Texas | Largest MOD | 36 pts vs #4 Indiana |
OTHER STATISTICS
Texas St
North Texas
| 16.5 | Points per Game | 30 |
| 45 | Points Against | 29 |
| 26 | Home PPG | 44 |
| 31 | Home PA | 6 |
| 7 | Away PPG | 16 |
| 59 | Away PA | 52 |
| 4-0 | Opponent Record | 3-2 |
| 29.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 52 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | L 1 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Texas St
North Texas
| Sep 12 | vs Texas-San Antonio (2-0) | L26-31 | Sep 12 | vs UNLV (1-2) | W44-6 |
| Sep 5 | at #1 Texas (2-0) | L7-59 | Sep 5 | at #4 Indiana (2-0) | L16-52 |
