North Texas at Texas St-San Marcos Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Texas St-San Marcos by 2.33
TOTAL POINTS
68
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
North Texas
Texas St 
|
84
B
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
83
B-
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
91
A-
|
Offensive |
87
B+
|
|
75
C
|
Defensive |
80
B-
|
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
83
B-
|
|
86
B
|
SoR (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
87
B+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
80
B-
|
RANKINGS
North Texas
Texas St
| 52 #54 overall |
Overall | 47 #49 overall |
| 57 #57 overall |
Power | 58 #58 overall |
| 28 #28 overall |
Offensive | 43 #43 overall |
| 84 #84 overall |
Defensive | 66 #66 overall |
| 93 #94 overall |
SoS (Current) | 28 #28 overall |
| 82 #82 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 56 #56 overall |
Texas St-San Marcos#4755%
North Texas#5245%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Texas St-San Marcos 55%, North Texas 45% at Texas St-San Marcos.
Texas St-San Marcos' win probability against North Texas is trending up — from 18% to 43% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas St-San Marcos' win probability against North Texas is trending up — from 23% to 49% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas St-San Marcos' win probability against North Texas is trending up — from 28% to 55% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas St-San Marcos favored
North Texas favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At North Texas | Neutral | At Texas St-San Marcos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 40% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 1 | 41% | 47% | 53% |
| Wk 2 | 33% | 39% | 45% |
| Wk 3 | 18% | 23% | 28% |
| Wk 4 | 42% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 5 | 45% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 6 | 39% | 45% | 51% |
| Wk 7 | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 8 | 42% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 9 | 43% | 49% | 55% |
RECORDS
North Texas
Texas St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
5-2 (71.4%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
3-0 (100%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Away |
0-2 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
North Texas
Texas St
| #94 UNLV | Best Win | #54 North Texas |
| #49 Texas St-San Marcos | Worst Loss | #107 San Diego St |
| 49 pts vs #256 Houston Christian | Largest MOV | 53 pts vs #153 Incarnate Word |
| 36 pts vs #7 Indiana | Largest MOD | 52 pts vs #4 Texas |
OTHER STATISTICS
North Texas
Texas St
| 43.1 | Points per Game | 37.1 |
| 30.6 | Points Against | 30 |
| 52.3 | Home PPG | 44.8 |
| 10 | Home PA | 24 |
| 36.3 | Away PPG | 18 |
| 46 | Away PA | 45 |
| 26-26 | Opponent Record | 29-23 |
| 149.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 85 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| W 4 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
North Texas
Texas St
| Oct 24 | at Navy (2-5) | W49-39 | Oct 24 | vs Utah St (2-5) | W20-17 |
| Oct 10 | vs UNC-Charlotte (1-6) | W50-10 | Oct 15 | vs Colorado St (3-4) | W66-27 |
| Oct 1 | at Tulsa (4-4) | W45-44 | Oct 3 | at San Diego St (3-5) | L29-31 |
| Sep 26 | vs Houston Christian (4-4) | W63-14 | Sep 26 | vs Incarnate Word (4-4) | W63-10 |
| Sep 19 | at Texas St-San Marcos (4-3) | L35-49 | Sep 19 | vs North Texas (5-2) | W49-35 |
| Sep 12 | vs UNLV (4-3) | W44-6 | Sep 12 | vs #21 Texas-San Antonio (7-1) | L26-31 |
| Sep 5 | at #7 Indiana (7-1) | L16-52 | Sep 5 | at #4 Texas (5-2) | L7-59 |