Incarnate Word at Texas St-San Marcos Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Texas St-San Marcos by 32.05
TOTAL POINTS
64
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
Incarnate Word
Texas St 
|
93
A-
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
92
A-
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
95
A
|
Offensive |
87
B+
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
80
B-
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
86
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
83
B-
|
|
90
A-
|
SoR (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
90
A-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
80
B-
|
RANKINGS
Incarnate WordFCS
Texas StFBS
| 20 #153 overall |
Overall | 47 #49 overall |
| 23 #155 overall |
Power | 58 #58 overall |
| 13 #132 overall |
Offensive | 43 #43 overall |
| 37 #175 overall |
Defensive | 66 #66 overall |
| 15 #141 overall |
SoS (Current) | 28 #28 overall |
| 44 #185 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 56 #56 overall |
Texas St-San MarcosFBS #4796%
Incarnate WordFCS #204%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Texas St-San Marcos 96%, Incarnate Word 4% at Texas St-San Marcos.
Texas St-San Marcos' win probability against Incarnate Word is trending up — from 79% to 94% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas St-San Marcos' win probability against Incarnate Word is trending up — from 83% to 95% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas St-San Marcos' win probability against Incarnate Word is trending up — from 87% to 96% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas St-San Marcos favored
Incarnate Word favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Incarnate Word | Neutral | At Texas St-San Marcos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 1 | 83% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 2 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 3 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 4 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 5 | 97% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 6 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 7 | 96% | 97% | 97% |
| Wk 8 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 9 | 94% | 95% | 96% |
RECORDS
Incarnate Word
Texas St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-4 (50%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
4-0 (100%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Away |
0-2 (0%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Incarnate Word
Texas St
| #238 Texas-Rio Grande Valley | Best Win | #54 North Texas |
| #118 Lamar | Worst Loss | #107 San Diego St |
| 62 pts vs #510 OK Panhandle St | Largest MOV | 53 pts vs #153 Incarnate Word |
| 53 pts vs #49 Texas St-San Marcos | Largest MOD | 52 pts vs #4 Texas |
OTHER STATISTICS
Incarnate Word
Texas St
| 35.5 | Points per Game | 37.1 |
| 28.3 | Points Against | 30 |
| 46.3 | Home PPG | 44.8 |
| 14.8 | Home PA | 24 |
| 24.8 | Away PPG | 18 |
| 41.8 | Away PA | 45 |
| 39-24 | Opponent Record | 29-23 |
| 196.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 85 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Incarnate Word
Texas St
| Oct 24 | vs McNeese St (3-5) | W38-6 | Oct 24 | vs Utah St (2-5) | W20-17 |
| Oct 17 | vs Texas-Rio Grande Valley (4-4) | W41-16 | Oct 15 | vs Colorado St (3-4) | W66-27 |
| Oct 10 | at Lamar (6-2) | L35-38 | Oct 3 | at San Diego St (3-5) | L29-31 |
| Oct 3 | at Stephen F. Austin (8-0) | L26-28 | Sep 26 | vs Incarnate Word (4-4) | W63-10 |
| Sep 26 | at Texas St-San Marcos (4-3) | L10-63 | Sep 19 | vs North Texas (5-2) | W49-35 |
| Sep 19 | vs Houston Christian (4-4) | W30-23 | Sep 12 | vs #21 Texas-San Antonio (7-1) | L26-31 |
| Sep 12 | at Northern Arizona (6-2) | L28-38 | Sep 5 | at #4 Texas (5-2) | L7-59 |
| Aug 29 | vs OK Panhandle St (4-4) | W76-14 |