Incarnate Word at Texas St-San Marcos Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Texas St-San Marcos by 19.21
TOTAL POINTS
61
UPDATED
Sunday, September 13, 2026
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
Incarnate Word
Texas St 
|
85
B
|
Overall |
74
C
|
|
89
B+
|
Power |
71
C-
|
|
93
A-
|
Offensive |
75
C
|
|
85
B
|
Defensive |
67
D+
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
79
C+
|
RANKINGS
Incarnate WordFCS
Texas StFBS
| 46 #250 overall |
Overall | 88 #101 overall |
| 32 #173 overall |
Power | 99 #103 overall |
| 22 #156 overall |
Offensive | 87 #90 overall |
| 46 #191 overall |
Defensive | 114 #119 overall |
| 89 #286 overall |
SoS (Current) | 3 #3 overall |
| 52 #198 overall |
SoS (Future) | 71 #71 overall |
Texas St-San MarcosFBS #8887%
Incarnate WordFCS #4613%Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Texas St-San Marcos 87%, Incarnate Word 13% at Texas St-San Marcos.
Texas St-San Marcos' win probability against Incarnate Word is trending down — from 88% to 79% over the last 6 updates.
Texas St-San Marcos' win probability against Incarnate Word is trending down — from 91% to 83% over the last 6 updates.
Texas St-San Marcos' win probability against Incarnate Word is trending down — from 93% to 87% over the last 6 updates.
Texas St-San Marcos favored
Incarnate Word favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Incarnate Word | Neutral | At Texas St-San Marcos |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 86% | 89% | 92% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 86% | 89% | 91% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
RECORDS
Incarnate Word
Texas St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Overall |
0-2 (0%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Home |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Away |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-2 (0%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Last 5 Games |
0-2 (0%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Incarnate Word
Texas St
| #512 OK Panhandle St | Best Win | None |
| #127 Northern Arizona | Worst Loss | #58 Texas-San Antonio |
| 62 pts vs #512 OK Panhandle St | Largest MOV | None |
| 10 pts vs #127 Northern Arizona | Largest MOD | 52 pts vs #1 Texas |
OTHER STATISTICS
Incarnate Word
Texas St
| 52 | Points per Game | 16.5 |
| 26 | Points Against | 45 |
| 76 | Home PPG | 26 |
| 14 | Home PA | 31 |
| 28 | Away PPG | 7 |
| 38 | Away PA | 59 |
| 4-2 | Opponent Record | 4-0 |
| 319.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 29.5 |
| W 1 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Incarnate Word
Texas St
| Sep 12 | at Northern Arizona (2-1) | L28-38 | Sep 12 | vs Texas-San Antonio (2-0) | L26-31 |
| Aug 29 | vs OK Panhandle St (2-1) | W76-14 | Sep 5 | at #1 Texas (2-0) | L7-59 |