Fresno St at Texas St-San Marcos Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Texas St-San Marcos by 10.66
TOTAL POINTS
56
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Fresno St
Texas St 
|
73
C-
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
75
C
|
Offensive |
87
B+
|
|
79
C+
|
Defensive |
80
B-
|
|
67
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
83
B-
|
|
75
C
|
SoR (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
74
C
|
SoR (Full Season) |
80
B-
|
RANKINGS
Fresno St
Texas St
| 94 #122 overall |
Overall | 47 #49 overall |
| 78 #78 overall |
Power | 58 #58 overall |
| 85 #86 overall |
Offensive | 43 #43 overall |
| 73 #73 overall |
Defensive | 66 #66 overall |
| 115 #126 overall |
SoS (Current) | 28 #28 overall |
| 91 #91 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 56 #56 overall |
Texas St-San Marcos#4773%
Fresno St#9427%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Texas St-San Marcos 73%, Fresno St 27% at Texas St-San Marcos.
Texas St-San Marcos' win probability against Fresno St is trending up — from 28% to 62% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas St-San Marcos' win probability against Fresno St is trending up — from 34% to 68% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas St-San Marcos' win probability against Fresno St is trending up — from 40% to 73% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas St-San Marcos favored
Fresno St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Fresno St | Neutral | At Texas St-San Marcos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 44% | 50% | 57% |
| Wk 1 | 44% | 50% | 57% |
| Wk 2 | 41% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 3 | 28% | 34% | 40% |
| Wk 4 | 40% | 47% | 53% |
| Wk 5 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 6 | 49% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 7 | 42% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 8 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 9 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
RECORDS
Fresno St
Texas St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Away |
0-2 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Fresno St
Texas St
| #168 San Jose St | Best Win | #54 North Texas |
| #107 San Diego St | Worst Loss | #107 San Diego St |
| 46 pts vs #432 Sacramento St | Largest MOV | 53 pts vs #153 Incarnate Word |
| 39 pts vs #35 Southern Cal | Largest MOD | 52 pts vs #4 Texas |
OTHER STATISTICS
Fresno St
Texas St
| 27.6 | Points per Game | 37.1 |
| 20.9 | Points Against | 30 |
| 39.3 | Home PPG | 44.8 |
| 21.7 | Home PA | 24 |
| 18.8 | Away PPG | 18 |
| 20.3 | Away PA | 45 |
| 22-33 | Opponent Record | 29-23 |
| 188.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 85 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Fresno St
Texas St
| Oct 17 | at San Diego St (3-5) | L23-26 | Oct 24 | vs Utah St (2-5) | W20-17 |
| Oct 10 | vs #24 Boise St (6-1) | L31-38 | Oct 15 | vs Colorado St (3-4) | W66-27 |
| Oct 3 | at Washington St (1-7) | W26-6 | Oct 3 | at San Diego St (3-5) | L29-31 |
| Sep 26 | vs Rice (1-7) | W38-24 | Sep 26 | vs Incarnate Word (4-4) | W63-10 |
| Sep 19 | at San Jose St (4-4) | W26-10 | Sep 19 | vs North Texas (5-2) | W49-35 |
| Sep 12 | vs Sacramento St (1-7) | W49-3 | Sep 12 | vs #21 Texas-San Antonio (7-1) | L26-31 |
| Sep 4 | at Southern Cal (6-2) | L0-39 | Sep 5 | at #4 Texas (5-2) | L7-59 |