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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Texas Southern 78%, Mississippi Valley St 22% at Texas Southern.
Texas Southern's win probability against Mississippi Valley St has swung between 59% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 67% now.
Texas Southern's win probability against Mississippi Valley St has swung between 65% and 89% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.
Texas Southern's win probability against Mississippi Valley St has swung between 70% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 78% now.