Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Texas Lutheran 97%, Centenary LA 3% at Texas Lutheran.
Texas Lutheran's win probability against Centenary LA has swung between 91% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 95% now.
Texas Lutheran's win probability against Centenary LA has swung between 93% and 98% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 96% now.
Texas Lutheran's win probability against Centenary LA has held at 97% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.