Nelson TX at Texas College Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Nelson TX by 19.47
TOTAL POINTS
61
UPDATED
Sunday, November 1, 2026
See this week's NAIA predictions
RATINGS
Texas College
Nelson 
|
62
D-
|
Overall |
71
C-
|
|
62
D-
|
Power |
70
C-
|
|
62
D-
|
Offensive |
69
D+
|
|
62
D-
|
Defensive |
71
C-
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Current) |
95
A
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
86
B
|
|
63
D-
|
SoR (Current) |
66
D
|
|
63
D-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
65
D
|
RANKINGS
Texas College
Nelson
| 90 #734 overall |
Overall | 70 #649 overall |
| 92 #721 overall |
Power | 71 #633 overall |
| 90 #694 overall |
Offensive | 74 #636 overall |
| 92 #738 overall |
Defensive | 69 #627 overall |
| 35 #535 overall |
SoS (Current) | 10 #433 overall |
| 57 #589 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 32 #518 overall |
Nelson TX#7087%Texas College#9013%Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Nelson TX 87%, Texas College 13% at Texas College.
Nelson TX's win probability against Texas College has swung between 77% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 87% now.
Nelson TX's win probability against Texas College has swung between 81% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 90% now.
Nelson TX's win probability against Texas College has swung between 85% and 93% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 92% now.
Nelson TX favored
Texas College favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Texas College | Neutral | At Nelson TX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 1 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 2 | 66% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 3 | 79% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 4 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 5 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 6 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 7 | 77% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 8 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 9 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 10 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
RECORDS
Texas College
Nelson
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-6 (0%) |
Overall |
1-8 (11.1%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Home |
1-5 (16.7%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
0-3 (0%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus NAIA Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-7 (0%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
0-5 (0%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Texas College
Nelson
| None | Best Win | #662 Arkansas Baptist |
| #662 Arkansas Baptist | Worst Loss | #573 MidAmerica Nazarene |
| None | Largest MOV | 7 pts vs #662 Arkansas Baptist |
| 63 pts vs #312 Louisiana Christian | Largest MOD | 52 pts vs #148 Hardin-Simmons |
OTHER STATISTICS
Texas College
Nelson
| 18.7 | Points per Game | 17.9 |
| 55.2 | Points Against | 37.1 |
| 17 | Home PPG | 18.7 |
| 51 | Home PA | 36.3 |
| 20.3 | Away PPG | 16.3 |
| 59.3 | Away PA | 38.7 |
| 30-23 | Opponent Record | 50-28 |
| 488.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 434.2 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | L 6 |
| L 6 | Current Streak | L 6 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Texas College
Nelson
| Oct 24 | vs Louisiana Christian (8-1) | L6-69 | Oct 31 | vs Wayland Baptist (6-3) | L20-45 |
| Oct 10 | at Ottawa AZ (7-1) | L7-69 | Oct 24 | vs Hardin-Simmons (7-0) | L0-52 |
| Sep 26 | vs Wayland Baptist (6-3) | L26-54 | Oct 17 | vs Louisiana Christian (8-1) | L23-31 |
| Sep 19 | at Langston (2-6) | L34-53 | Oct 10 | vs OK Panhandle St (4-5) | L28-35 |
| Sep 12 | at Texas Wesleyan (5-4) | L20-56 | Oct 3 | at Howard Payne (5-2) | L16-44 |
| Sep 5 | vs Arkansas Baptist (2-8) | L19-30 | Sep 26 | at Texas Wesleyan (5-4) | L16-41 |