Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Alabama 66%, Tennessee 34% at Tennessee.
Alabama's win probability against Tennessee has swung between 60% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.
Alabama's win probability against Tennessee has swung between 66% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.
Alabama's win probability against Tennessee has swung between 71% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.