Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Central Arkansas 53%, Tennessee-Martin 47% at Tennessee-Martin.
Central Arkansas' win probability against Tennessee-Martin has swung between 45% and 58% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 53% now.
Central Arkansas' win probability against Tennessee-Martin has swung between 51% and 64% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 59% now.
Central Arkansas' win probability against Tennessee-Martin has swung between 57% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.