Tennessee-Martin at Tennessee St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Tennessee-Martin by 4.1
TOTAL POINTS
52
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Tennessee St
Tennessee-Martin 
|
67
D+
|
Overall |
76
C
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
74
C
|
Offensive |
85
B
|
|
79
C+
|
Defensive |
82
B-
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
80
B-
|
|
69
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
85
B
|
|
70
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
85
B
|
RANKINGS
Tennessee St
Tennessee-Martin
| 104 #420 overall |
Overall | 77 #329 overall |
| 74 #222 overall |
Power | 54 #196 overall |
| 84 #247 overall |
Offensive | 46 #190 overall |
| 67 #211 overall |
Defensive | 57 #197 overall |
| 47 #188 overall |
SoS (Current) | 62 #210 overall |
| 62 #206 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 63 #208 overall |
Tennessee-Martin#7760%
Tennessee St#10440%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Tennessee-Martin 60%, Tennessee St 40% at Tennessee St.
Tennessee-Martin's win probability against Tennessee St is trending down — from 79% to 60% over the last 6 weeks.
Tennessee-Martin's win probability against Tennessee St is trending down — from 83% to 65% over the last 6 weeks.
Tennessee-Martin's win probability against Tennessee St is trending down — from 86% to 71% over the last 6 weeks.
Tennessee-Martin favored
Tennessee St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Tennessee St | Neutral | At Tennessee-Martin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 1 | 71% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 2 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 3 | 79% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 4 | 72% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 5 | 67% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 6 | 59% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 7 | 65% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 8 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 9 | 60% | 65% | 71% |
RECORDS
Tennessee St
Tennessee-Martin
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
3-5 (37.5%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
1-4 (20%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-4 (0%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Tennessee St
Tennessee-Martin
| #323 Morgan St | Best Win | #399 Gardner-Webb |
| #329 Tennessee-Martin | Worst Loss | #334 Central Arkansas |
| 9 pts vs #323 Morgan St | Largest MOV | 35 pts vs #610 Chicago St |
| 60 pts vs #14 Georgia | Largest MOD | 45 pts vs #44 West Virginia |
OTHER STATISTICS
Tennessee St
Tennessee-Martin
| 17.5 | Points per Game | 23.6 |
| 31.4 | Points Against | 33 |
| 21 | Home PPG | 27.7 |
| 26 | Home PA | 16.3 |
| 14 | Away PPG | 21.2 |
| 36.8 | Away PA | 43 |
| 36-27 | Opponent Record | 29-36 |
| 264 | Avg Opponent Rank | 282.4 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | L 3 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Tennessee St
Tennessee-Martin
| Oct 24 | vs Charleston Southern (4-4) | L7-20 | Oct 24 | at Western Illinois (4-4) | L24-55 |
| Oct 17 | vs Morgan St (5-3) | W25-16 | Oct 17 | vs Gardner-Webb (2-6) | W17-6 |
| Oct 10 | vs Tennessee-Martin (3-5) | L28-42 | Oct 10 | at Tennessee St (2-6) | W42-28 |
| Oct 3 | at Western Illinois (4-4) | L21-28 | Sep 26 | at Austin Peay (7-2) | L12-35 |
| Sep 19 | at Florida A&M (2-6) | W29-26 | Sep 19 | at Memphis (6-2) | L21-45 |
| Sep 12 | at Alabama A&M (6-2) | L3-30 | Sep 12 | at West Virginia (5-3) | L7-52 |
| Sep 5 | at #14 Georgia (6-1) | L3-63 | Sep 5 | vs Chicago St (1-7) | W42-7 |
| Aug 29 | vs Jackson St (6-2) | L24-26 | Aug 27 | vs Central Arkansas (2-6) | L24-36 |