Morgan St at Tennessee St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Tennessee St by 6.79
TOTAL POINTS
55
UPDATED
Sunday, October 11, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Tennessee St
Morgan St 
|
68
D+
|
Overall |
91
A-
|
|
79
C+
|
Power |
74
C
|
|
79
C+
|
Offensive |
78
C+
|
|
79
C+
|
Defensive |
71
C-
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
62
D-
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
62
D-
|
RANKINGS
Tennessee St
Morgan St
| 102 #442 overall |
Overall | 28 #172 overall |
| 67 #365 overall |
Power | 83 #416 overall |
| 66 #367 overall |
Offensive | 71 #383 overall |
| 67 #367 overall |
Defensive | 93 #455 overall |
| 29 #161 overall |
SoS (Current) | 120 #401 overall |
| 52 #199 overall |
SoS (Future) | 122 #376 overall |
Tennessee St#10265%
Morgan St#2835%Wk 7 (Oct 11), 2026-27: Tennessee St 65%, Morgan St 35% at Tennessee St.
Tennessee St's win probability against Morgan St has swung between 42% and 58% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 53% now.
Tennessee St's win probability against Morgan St has swung between 48% and 64% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.
Tennessee St's win probability against Morgan St has swung between 55% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.
Tennessee St favored
Morgan St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Morgan St | Neutral | At Tennessee St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 46% | 52% | 58% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 50% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 48% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 58% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 46% | 52% | 58% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 42% | 48% | 55% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 45% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 51% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 7 | 2026-27 | 53% | 60% | 65% |
RECORDS
Tennessee St
Morgan St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Overall |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Home |
2-0 (100%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Tennessee St
Morgan St
| #425 Florida A&M | Best Win | #349 Robert Morris |
| #330 Tennessee-Martin | Worst Loss | #76 Arizona St |
| 3 pts vs #425 Florida A&M | Largest MOV | 55 pts vs #725 Virginia U-Lynchburg |
| 60 pts vs #1 Georgia | Largest MOD | 63 pts vs #76 Arizona St |
OTHER STATISTICS
Tennessee St
Morgan St
| 18 | Points per Game | 31 |
| 35.8 | Points Against | 27.5 |
| 26 | Home PPG | 41.5 |
| 34 | Home PA | 13.5 |
| 14 | Away PPG | 25.8 |
| 36.8 | Away PA | 34.5 |
| 23-14 | Opponent Record | 10-27 |
| 238.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 414.3 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 4 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Tennessee St
Morgan St
| Oct 10 | vs Tennessee-Martin (2-4) | L28-42 | Oct 10 | vs Robert Morris (3-3) | W28-27 |
| Oct 3 | at Western Illinois (3-3) | L21-28 | Oct 3 | at Villanova (2-4) | W38-35 |
| Sep 19 | at Florida A&M (2-4) | W29-26 | Sep 19 | at Towson (0-7) | W41-26 |
| Sep 12 | at Alabama A&M (5-2) | L3-30 | Sep 12 | vs Virginia U-Lynchburg (0-6) | W55-0 |
| Sep 5 | at #1 Georgia (6-0) | L3-63 | Sep 5 | at Arizona St (3-2) | L7-70 |
| Aug 29 | vs Jackson St (5-1) | L24-26 | Aug 29 | at North Carolina A&T (2-5) | W17-7 |