Eastern Kentucky at Tarleton St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Tarleton St by 22.72
TOTAL POINTS
57
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Eastern Kentucky
Tarleton 
|
83
B-
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
79
C+
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
77
C+
|
Offensive |
97
A+
|
|
80
B-
|
Defensive |
91
A-
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Current) |
68
D+
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
78
C+
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
81
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
RANKINGS
Eastern Kentucky
Tarleton
| 52 #244 overall |
Overall | 6 #75 overall |
| 67 #212 overall |
Power | 9 #137 overall |
| 74 #228 overall |
Offensive | 7 #115 overall |
| 63 #204 overall |
Defensive | 28 #160 overall |
| 17 #144 overall |
SoS (Current) | 103 #289 overall |
| 10 #132 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 68 #215 overall |
Tarleton St#691%
Eastern Kentucky#529%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Tarleton St 91%, Eastern Kentucky 9% at Tarleton St.
Tarleton St's win probability against Eastern Kentucky is trending down — from 87% to 84% over the last 6 weeks.
Tarleton St's win probability against Eastern Kentucky has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tarleton St's win probability against Eastern Kentucky has held at 91% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tarleton St favored
Eastern Kentucky favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Eastern Kentucky | Neutral | At Tarleton St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 1 | 78% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 2 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 3 | 87% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 4 | 86% | 89% | 92% |
| Wk 5 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 6 | 83% | 87% | 89% |
| Wk 7 | 84% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 8 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 9 | 84% | 88% | 91% |
RECORDS
Eastern Kentucky
Tarleton
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Overall |
8-0 (100%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Eastern Kentucky
Tarleton
| #172 Chattanooga | Best Win | #133 Austin Peay |
| #215 North Alabama | Worst Loss | None |
| 10 pts vs #506 West Georgia | Largest MOV | 43 pts vs #506 West Georgia |
| 42 pts vs #83 Jacksonville St | Largest MOD | None |
OTHER STATISTICS
Eastern Kentucky
Tarleton
| 18.3 | Points per Game | 41.9 |
| 28.8 | Points Against | 22.6 |
| 19.6 | Home PPG | 49.8 |
| 17.4 | Home PA | 26.5 |
| 16 | Away PPG | 34 |
| 47.7 | Away PA | 18.8 |
| 35-26 | Opponent Record | 23-43 |
| 206 | Avg Opponent Rank | 347 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 8 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Eastern Kentucky
Tarleton
| Oct 24 | vs West Florida (4-3) | W16-13 | Oct 24 | at West Georgia (1-7) | W49-6 |
| Oct 17 | at Tennessee Tech (7-1) | L20-49 | Oct 17 | vs Central Arkansas (2-6) | W49-35 |
| Oct 10 | vs West Georgia (1-7) | W30-20 | Oct 10 | at Austin Peay (7-2) | W40-32 |
| Oct 3 | vs North Alabama (4-4) | L16-20 | Oct 3 | vs Chicago St (1-7) | W56-21 |
| Sep 19 | vs Dayton (6-1) | L14-17 | Sep 19 | vs Merrimack (3-5) | W45-20 |
| Sep 12 | vs Chattanooga (5-3) | W22-17 | Sep 12 | at McNeese St (3-5) | W27-24 |
| Sep 5 | at Jacksonville St (5-2) | L7-49 | Sep 5 | at Bowling Green (2-6) | W20-13 |
| Aug 29 | at Western Carolina (3-5) | L21-45 | Aug 29 | vs Prairie View A&M (4-5) | W49-30 |