Central Arkansas at Tarleton St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Tarleton St by 14.57
TOTAL POINTS
61
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Central Arkansas
Tarleton 
|
75
C
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
87
B+
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
88
B+
|
Offensive |
97
A+
|
|
85
B
|
Defensive |
91
A-
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Current) |
68
D+
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
78
C+
|
|
75
C
|
SoR (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
78
C+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
RANKINGS
Central Arkansas
Tarleton
| 79 #334 overall |
Overall | 6 #75 overall |
| 39 #179 overall |
Power | 9 #137 overall |
| 37 #176 overall |
Offensive | 7 #115 overall |
| 45 #185 overall |
Defensive | 28 #160 overall |
| 14 #140 overall |
SoS (Current) | 103 #289 overall |
| 23 #159 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 68 #215 overall |
Tarleton St#680%
Central Arkansas#7920%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Tarleton St 80%, Central Arkansas 20% at Tarleton St.
Tarleton St's win probability against Central Arkansas has swung between 56% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.
Tarleton St's win probability against Central Arkansas has swung between 62% and 76% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.
Tarleton St's win probability against Central Arkansas has swung between 68% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 80% now.
Tarleton St favored
Central Arkansas favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Central Arkansas | Neutral | At Tarleton St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 1 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 2 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 3 | 69% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 4 | 70% | 75% | 80% |
| Wk 5 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 6 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 7 | 60% | 66% | 72% |
| Wk 8 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 9 | 71% | 76% | 80% |
RECORDS
Central Arkansas
Tarleton
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
8-0 (100%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Away |
4-0 (100%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
1-0 (100%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-0 (100%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Central Arkansas
Tarleton
| #329 Tennessee-Martin | Best Win | #133 Austin Peay |
| #238 Texas-Rio Grande Valley | Worst Loss | None |
| 39 pts vs #350 Central Oklahoma | Largest MOV | 43 pts vs #506 West Georgia |
| 28 pts vs #185 West Florida | Largest MOD | None |
OTHER STATISTICS
Central Arkansas
Tarleton
| 25.1 | Points per Game | 41.9 |
| 30.8 | Points Against | 22.6 |
| 33.3 | Home PPG | 49.8 |
| 30.7 | Home PA | 26.5 |
| 20.2 | Away PPG | 34 |
| 30.8 | Away PA | 18.8 |
| 34-28 | Opponent Record | 23-43 |
| 195.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 347 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | W 8 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Central Arkansas
Tarleton
| Oct 24 | vs Texas-Rio Grande Valley (4-4) | L27-30 | Oct 24 | at West Georgia (1-7) | W49-6 |
| Oct 17 | at Tarleton St (8-0) | L35-49 | Oct 17 | vs Central Arkansas (2-6) | W49-35 |
| Oct 10 | at Abilene Christian (4-4) | L14-20 | Oct 10 | at Austin Peay (7-2) | W40-32 |
| Sep 26 | at Florida St (3-4) | L7-34 | Oct 3 | vs Chicago St (1-7) | W56-21 |
| Sep 19 | at SE Missouri St (5-3) | L9-27 | Sep 19 | vs Merrimack (3-5) | W45-20 |
| Sep 12 | vs Central Oklahoma (3-5) | W59-20 | Sep 12 | at McNeese St (3-5) | W27-24 |
| Sep 5 | vs West Florida (4-3) | L14-42 | Sep 5 | at Bowling Green (2-6) | W20-13 |
| Aug 27 | at Tennessee-Martin (3-5) | W36-24 | Aug 29 | vs Prairie View A&M (4-5) | W49-30 |