Abilene Christian at Tarleton St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Abilene Christian by 1.07
TOTAL POINTS
57
UPDATED
Sunday, November 1, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Abilene Christian
Tarleton 
|
96
A
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
94
A
|
Offensive |
97
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Current) |
73
C-
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
80
B-
|
|
94
A
|
SoR (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
94
A
|
SoR (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
RANKINGS
Abilene Christian
Tarleton
| 12 #126 overall |
Overall | 4 #64 overall |
| 8 #131 overall |
Power | 16 #146 overall |
| 18 #144 overall |
Offensive | 8 #123 overall |
| 7 #128 overall |
Defensive | 33 #170 overall |
| 10 #132 overall |
SoS (Current) | 87 #247 overall |
| 4 #121 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 63 #206 overall |
Abilene Christian#1253%
Tarleton St#447%Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Abilene Christian 53%, Tarleton St 47% at Tarleton St.
Abilene Christian's win probability against Tarleton St is trending up — from 27% to 53% over the last 6 weeks.
Abilene Christian's win probability against Tarleton St is trending up — from 33% to 59% over the last 6 weeks.
Abilene Christian's win probability against Tarleton St is trending up — from 38% to 65% over the last 6 weeks.
Abilene Christian favored
Tarleton St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Tarleton St | Neutral | At Abilene Christian |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 21% | 26% | 31% |
| Wk 1 | 24% | 29% | 34% |
| Wk 2 | 22% | 27% | 33% |
| Wk 3 | 25% | 30% | 36% |
| Wk 4 | 27% | 33% | 38% |
| Wk 5 | 24% | 29% | 35% |
| Wk 6 | 42% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 7 | 40% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 8 | 42% | 48% | 55% |
| Wk 9 | 36% | 42% | 48% |
| Wk 10 | 53% | 59% | 65% |
RECORDS
Abilene Christian
Tarleton
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
5-4 (55.6%) |
Overall |
9-0 (100%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Home |
5-0 (100%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Away |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-0 (100%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Abilene Christian
Tarleton
| #145 Idaho | Best Win | #129 Austin Peay |
| #150 Mercer | Worst Loss | None |
| 59 pts vs #492 West Georgia | Largest MOV | 43 pts vs #492 West Georgia |
| 23 pts vs #12 Texas Tech | Largest MOD | None |
OTHER STATISTICS
Abilene Christian
Tarleton
| 26 | Points per Game | 40.3 |
| 22.4 | Points Against | 22.8 |
| 27.6 | Home PPG | 45.4 |
| 16.2 | Home PA | 26 |
| 24 | Away PPG | 34 |
| 30.3 | Away PA | 18.8 |
| 46-32 | Opponent Record | 29-52 |
| 189.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 317.1 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| W 4 | Current Streak | W 9 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Abilene Christian
Tarleton
| Oct 31 | vs West Georgia (1-8) | W59-0 | Oct 31 | vs Eastern Kentucky (3-6) | W28-24 |
| Oct 17 | at North Alabama (5-4) | W31-28 | Oct 24 | at West Georgia (1-8) | W49-6 |
| Oct 10 | vs Central Arkansas (2-7) | W20-14 | Oct 17 | vs Central Arkansas (2-7) | W49-35 |
| Oct 3 | vs West Florida (4-3) | W35-7 | Oct 10 | at Austin Peay (7-2) | W40-32 |
| Sep 26 | vs Mercer (7-2) | L17-34 | Oct 3 | vs Chicago St (2-7) | W56-21 |
| Sep 19 | at Idaho (4-5) | W41-39 | Sep 19 | vs Merrimack (4-5) | W45-20 |
| Sep 12 | vs Stephen F. Austin (9-0) | L7-26 | Sep 12 | at McNeese St (4-5) | W27-24 |
| Sep 5 | at #12 Texas Tech (7-1) | L10-33 | Sep 5 | at Bowling Green (2-7) | W20-13 |
| Aug 29 | at Lamar (7-2) | L14-21 | Aug 29 | vs Prairie View A&M (4-5) | W49-30 |