Arkansas St at TCU Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
TCU by 21.37
TOTAL POINTS
46
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Arkansas St
TCU 
|
69
D+
|
Overall |
77
C+
|
|
73
C-
|
Power |
87
B+
|
|
73
C-
|
Offensive |
79
C+
|
|
71
C-
|
Defensive |
94
A
|
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
92
A-
|
|
70
C-
|
SoR (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
70
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
81
B-
|
RANKINGS
Arkansas St
TCU
| 108 #166 overall |
Overall | 77 #92 overall |
| 94 #96 overall |
Power | 43 #43 overall |
| 92 #95 overall |
Offensive | 70 #70 overall |
| 99 #101 overall |
Defensive | 20 #20 overall |
| 127 #146 overall |
SoS (Current) | 34 #34 overall |
| 130 #145 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 24 #24 overall |
TCU#7789%
Arkansas St#10811%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: TCU 89%, Arkansas St 11% at TCU.
TCU's win probability against Arkansas St has swung between 79% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.
TCU's win probability against Arkansas St has swung between 83% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 86% now.
TCU's win probability against Arkansas St has held at 89% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
TCU favored
Arkansas St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Arkansas St | Neutral | At TCU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 89% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 1 | 80% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 2 | 86% | 89% | 91% |
| Wk 3 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 4 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 5 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 6 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 7 | 83% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 8 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 9 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
RECORDS
Arkansas St
TCU
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-4 (50%) |
Overall |
3-4 (42.9%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
2-2 (50%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-4 (42.9%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Arkansas St
TCU
| #177 Georgia St | Best Win | #78 Baylor |
| #108 Louisiana-Lafayette | Worst Loss | #52 North Carolina |
| 45 pts vs #506 West Georgia | Largest MOV | 56 pts vs #274 Grambling St |
| 24 pts vs #92 TCU | Largest MOD | 8 pts vs #42 Central Florida |
OTHER STATISTICS
Arkansas St
TCU
| 28.8 | Points per Game | 23.4 |
| 27.3 | Points Against | 13.9 |
| 39 | Home PPG | 31 |
| 27.3 | Home PA | 13.8 |
| 18.5 | Away PPG | 15 |
| 27.3 | Away PA | 13.5 |
| 26-33 | Opponent Record | 31-20 |
| 210.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 95.3 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Arkansas St
TCU
| Oct 24 | vs Georgia St (4-3) | W38-32 | Oct 24 | vs West Virginia (5-3) | L20-24 |
| Oct 17 | at Southern Miss (2-5) | W23-13 | Oct 17 | at Baylor (4-3) | W17-6 |
| Oct 8 | vs South Alabama (4-3) | L49-56 | Oct 3 | vs #11 Brigham Young (6-1) | L10-17 |
| Oct 3 | at Louisiana-Lafayette (5-3) | L20-23 | Sep 26 | at Central Florida (4-3) | L13-21 |
| Sep 26 | vs Kennesaw St (1-6) | W17-14 | Sep 19 | vs Arkansas St (4-4) | W31-7 |
| Sep 19 | at TCU (3-4) | L7-31 | Sep 12 | vs Grambling St (4-3) | W63-7 |
| Sep 12 | vs West Georgia (1-7) | W52-7 | Aug 29 | North Carolina (4-3) | L10-15 |
| Sep 5 | at Memphis (6-2) | L24-42 |