Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Susquehanna 98%, Moravian 2% at Susquehanna.
Susquehanna's win probability against Moravian has swung between 93% and 98% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 97% now.
Susquehanna's win probability against Moravian has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.