Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Western Oregon 98%, Sul Ross St 2% at Sul Ross St.
Western Oregon's win probability against Sul Ross St has held at 98% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.