Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Stephen F. Austin 97%, East Texas A&M 3% at Stephen F. Austin.
Stephen F. Austin's win probability against East Texas A&M has swung between 89% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 95% now.
Stephen F. Austin's win probability against East Texas A&M has held at 96% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Stephen F. Austin's win probability against East Texas A&M has held at 97% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.