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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: North Carolina St 73%, Stanford 27% at Stanford.
North Carolina St's win probability against Stanford has swung between 73% and 87% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.
North Carolina St's win probability against Stanford has swung between 78% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 78% now.
North Carolina St's win probability against Stanford has swung between 82% and 92% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.