Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Southern Nazarene 73%, NW Oklahoma St 27% at Southern Nazarene.
Southern Nazarene's win probability against NW Oklahoma St has swung between 48% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 61% now.
Southern Nazarene's win probability against NW Oklahoma St has swung between 54% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 67% now.
Southern Nazarene's win probability against NW Oklahoma St has swung between 60% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.