Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Southern Nazarene 52%, Arkansas-Monticello 48% at Southern Nazarene.
Southern Nazarene's win probability against Arkansas-Monticello has swung between 17% and 52% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 39% now.
Southern Nazarene's win probability against Arkansas-Monticello has swung between 21% and 59% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 45% now.
Southern Nazarene's win probability against Arkansas-Monticello has swung between 25% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.