Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Arkansas Tech 67%, Southern Nazarene 33% at Southern Nazarene.
Arkansas Tech's win probability against Southern Nazarene has swung between 51% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 67% now.
Arkansas Tech's win probability against Southern Nazarene has swung between 57% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.
Arkansas Tech's win probability against Southern Nazarene has swung between 63% and 79% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 78% now.