Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Southern Illinois 60%, SE Missouri St 40% at Southern Illinois.
Southern Illinois' win probability against SE Missouri St is trending down — from 65% to 48% over the last 6 weeks.
Southern Illinois' win probability against SE Missouri St is trending down — from 70% to 54% over the last 6 weeks.
Southern Illinois' win probability against SE Missouri St is trending down — from 75% to 60% over the last 6 weeks.