Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 8 (Oct 18), 2026-27: Northern Iowa 52%, Southern Illinois 48% at Southern Illinois.
Northern Iowa's win probability against Southern Illinois is trending up — from 27% to 52% over the last 6 weeks.
Northern Iowa's win probability against Southern Illinois is trending up — from 32% to 59% over the last 6 weeks.
Northern Iowa's win probability against Southern Illinois is trending up — from 38% to 65% over the last 6 weeks.