Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Southern Illinois 54%, Northern Iowa 46% at Southern Illinois.
Southern Illinois' win probability against Northern Iowa has swung between 35% and 56% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 41% now.
Southern Illinois' win probability against Northern Iowa has swung between 41% and 62% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 47% now.
Southern Illinois' win probability against Northern Iowa has swung between 48% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 54% now.