Illinois St at Southern Illinois Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Illinois St by 12.28
TOTAL POINTS
53
UPDATED
Sunday, October 11, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Southern Illinois
Illinois St 
|
86
B
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
92
A-
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
89
B+
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
93
A-
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Future) |
92
A-
|
RANKINGS
Southern Illinois
Illinois St
| 42 #232 overall |
Overall | 24 #158 overall |
| 25 #221 overall |
Power | 5 #108 overall |
| 34 #235 overall |
Offensive | 5 #102 overall |
| 22 #204 overall |
Defensive | 4 #110 overall |
| 25 #151 overall |
SoS (Current) | 57 #204 overall |
| 6 #123 overall |
SoS (Future) | 25 #162 overall |
Illinois St#2476%
Southern Illinois#4224%Wk 7 (Oct 11), 2026-27: Illinois St 76%, Southern Illinois 24% at Southern Illinois.
Illinois St's win probability against Southern Illinois is trending up — from 60% to 76% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois St's win probability against Southern Illinois is trending up — from 66% to 81% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois St's win probability against Southern Illinois is trending up — from 71% to 85% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois St favored
Southern Illinois favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Southern Illinois | Neutral | At Illinois St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 46% | 52% | 58% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 60% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 70% | 75% | 80% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 62% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 66% | 71% | 77% |
| Wk 7 | 2026-27 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
RECORDS
Southern Illinois
Illinois St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Home |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Southern Illinois
Illinois St
| #228 SE Missouri St | Best Win | #262 Western Illinois |
| #167 West Florida | Worst Loss | #114 Northern Iowa |
| 40 pts vs #414 Murray St | Largest MOV | 76 pts vs #602 St Francis IL |
| 38 pts vs #66 Illinois | Largest MOD | 17 pts vs #54 South Dakota St |
OTHER STATISTICS
Southern Illinois
Illinois St
| 24.1 | Points per Game | 38.2 |
| 26.4 | Points Against | 17.7 |
| 25 | Home PPG | 46.3 |
| 24 | Home PA | 14.7 |
| 23.8 | Away PPG | 30 |
| 27.4 | Away PA | 20.7 |
| 21-22 | Opponent Record | 14-20 |
| 221.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 275.7 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Southern Illinois
Illinois St
| Oct 10 | at South Dakota (5-2) | L10-31 | Oct 3 | vs South Dakota St (5-1) | L14-31 |
| Oct 3 | vs Youngstown St (5-2) | L16-28 | Sep 26 | at Northern Iowa (3-2) | L21-28 |
| Sep 26 | at Murray St (1-5) | W46-6 | Sep 19 | vs Eastern Illinois (2-4) | W49-13 |
| Sep 19 | at Illinois (3-3) | L10-48 | Sep 12 | at Northern Illinois (0-5) | W28-24 |
| Sep 12 | vs SE Missouri St (3-3) | W34-20 | Sep 5 | at Western Illinois (3-3) | W41-10 |
| Sep 3 | at Samford (1-5) | W22-18 | Aug 29 | vs St Francis IL (1-5) | W76-0 |
| Aug 27 | at West Florida (3-2) | L31-34 |