Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Illinois St 63%, Southern Illinois 37% at Southern Illinois.
Illinois St's win probability against Southern Illinois has swung between 62% and 81% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.
Illinois St's win probability against Southern Illinois has swung between 67% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
Illinois St's win probability against Southern Illinois has swung between 73% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.