Alabama-Birmingham at South Florida Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
South Florida by 9.53
TOTAL POINTS
46
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
UAB
South Florida 
|
72
C-
|
Overall |
80
B-
|
|
69
D+
|
Power |
76
C
|
|
68
D+
|
Offensive |
72
C-
|
|
73
C-
|
Defensive |
81
B-
|
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
70
C-
|
|
71
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
74
C
|
|
75
C
|
SoR (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
72
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
77
C+
|
RANKINGS
UAB
South Florida
| 95 #126 overall |
Overall | 66 #74 overall |
| 105 #110 overall |
Power | 81 #81 overall |
| 109 #118 overall |
Offensive | 96 #100 overall |
| 92 #93 overall |
Defensive | 64 #64 overall |
| 107 #114 overall |
SoS (Current) | 104 #110 overall |
| 101 #101 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 88 #88 overall |
South Florida#6671%
Alabama-Birmingham#9529%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: South Florida 71%, Alabama-Birmingham 29% at South Florida.
South Florida's win probability against Alabama-Birmingham is trending down — from 82% to 60% over the last 6 weeks.
South Florida's win probability against Alabama-Birmingham is trending down — from 86% to 66% over the last 6 weeks.
South Florida's win probability against Alabama-Birmingham is trending down — from 89% to 71% over the last 6 weeks.
South Florida favored
Alabama-Birmingham favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Alabama-Birmingham | Neutral | At South Florida |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 83% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 1 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 2 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 3 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 4 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 5 | 68% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 6 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 7 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 8 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 9 | 60% | 66% | 71% |
RECORDS
UAB
South Florida
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Overall |
5-2 (71.4%) |
|
4-0 (100%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
4-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
UAB
South Florida
| #176 East Carolina | Best Win | #59 Army |
| #108 Louisiana-Lafayette | Worst Loss | #224 Temple |
| 19 pts vs #381 Samford | Largest MOV | 42 pts vs #370 Delaware St |
| 25 pts vs #62 Memphis | Largest MOD | 7 pts vs #21 Texas-San Antonio |
OTHER STATISTICS
UAB
South Florida
| 23.3 | Points per Game | 26.6 |
| 24.6 | Points Against | 15.1 |
| 28.3 | Home PPG | 30 |
| 17.8 | Home PA | 11.3 |
| 16.7 | Away PPG | 22 |
| 33.7 | Away PA | 20.3 |
| 23-29 | Opponent Record | 26-27 |
| 178.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 171.7 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UAB
South Florida
| Oct 15 | vs East Carolina (3-4) | W30-17 | Oct 17 | vs Kent St (3-5) | W29-2 |
| Oct 10 | at Memphis (6-2) | L13-38 | Oct 8 | at #21 Texas-San Antonio (7-1) | L24-31 |
| Oct 3 | vs Samford (2-6) | W33-14 | Oct 3 | vs Temple (2-5) | L13-17 |
| Sep 25 | vs Navy (2-5) | W24-20 | Sep 26 | at Bowling Green (2-6) | W14-6 |
| Sep 19 | at Louisiana-Lafayette (5-3) | L14-21 | Sep 19 | vs Delaware St (4-4) | W59-17 |
| Sep 12 | vs Louisiana-Monroe (1-6) | W26-20 | Sep 12 | at Army (5-2) | W28-24 |
| Sep 3 | at Illinois (4-3) | L23-42 | Sep 5 | vs Florida Int'l (3-4) | W19-9 |