Troy at South Alabama Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
South Alabama by 11.21
TOTAL POINTS
59
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Troy
South Alabama 
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
77
C+
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
73
C-
|
|
66
D
|
Offensive |
77
C+
|
|
66
D
|
Defensive |
65
D
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
77
C+
|
|
68
D+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
75
C
|
|
67
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
72
C-
|
|
65
D
|
SoR (Full Season) |
75
C
|
RANKINGS
Troy
South Alabama
| 126 #254 overall |
Overall | 80 #97 overall |
| 120 #127 overall |
Power | 93 #95 overall |
| 116 #127 overall |
Offensive | 79 #80 overall |
| 118 #125 overall |
Defensive | 119 #126 overall |
| 132 #161 overall |
SoS (Current) | 80 #80 overall |
| 111 #113 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 85 #85 overall |
South Alabama#8074%
Troy#12626%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: South Alabama 74%, Troy 26% at South Alabama.
South Alabama's win probability against Troy has swung between 45% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.
South Alabama's win probability against Troy has swung between 51% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
South Alabama's win probability against Troy has swung between 57% and 76% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.
South Alabama favored
Troy favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Troy | Neutral | At South Alabama |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 35% | 40% | 47% |
| Wk 1 | 36% | 43% | 49% |
| Wk 2 | 45% | 51% | 58% |
| Wk 3 | 53% | 60% | 65% |
| Wk 4 | 49% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 5 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 6 | 45% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 7 | 51% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 8 | 66% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 9 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
RECORDS
Troy
South Alabama
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-2 (60%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Troy
South Alabama
| #253 Southern Miss | Best Win | #65 Ohio U. |
| #272 Louisiana-Monroe | Worst Loss | #134 Marshall |
| 21 pts vs #253 Southern Miss | Largest MOV | 25 pts vs #197 SE Louisiana |
| 27 pts vs #108 Louisiana-Lafayette | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #1 Kentucky |
OTHER STATISTICS
Troy
South Alabama
| 22.9 | Points per Game | 35.1 |
| 24.9 | Points Against | 32.4 |
| 31.8 | Home PPG | 44 |
| 23.3 | Home PA | 28.3 |
| 11 | Away PPG | 28.5 |
| 27 | Away PA | 35.5 |
| 20-30 | Opponent Record | 29-24 |
| 228.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 133 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Troy
South Alabama
| Oct 24 | vs Louisiana-Monroe (1-6) | L14-21 | Oct 20 | at Marshall (4-3) | L13-20 |
| Oct 17 | at Louisiana-Lafayette (5-3) | L6-33 | Oct 8 | at Arkansas St (4-4) | W56-49 |
| Oct 6 | vs Southern Miss (2-5) | W55-34 | Oct 3 | vs Louisiana-Monroe (1-6) | W52-35 |
| Sep 26 | at Utah St (2-5) | L10-21 | Sep 26 | at #1 Kentucky (7-1) | L21-45 |
| Sep 19 | at Missouri (5-2) | L17-27 | Sep 19 | vs Ohio U. (6-2) | W41-36 |
| Sep 12 | vs Alabama St (4-3) | W34-17 | Sep 12 | at Tulane (3-4) | L24-28 |
| Sep 5 | vs Sam Houston St (1-6) | W24-21 | Sep 5 | vs SE Louisiana (4-4) | W39-14 |