Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Sioux Falls 62%, Minot St 38% at Sioux Falls.
Sioux Falls' win probability against Minot St has swung between 25% and 53% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 49% now.
Sioux Falls' win probability against Minot St has swung between 31% and 60% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.
Sioux Falls' win probability against Minot St has swung between 36% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.