Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Shaw 56%, Livingstone 44% at Shaw.
Shaw's win probability against Livingstone has swung between 44% and 64% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 44% now.
Shaw's win probability against Livingstone has swung between 50% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 50% now.
Shaw's win probability against Livingstone has swung between 56% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.