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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 12 (Nov 15), 2026-27: UNLV 61%, San Jose St 39% at San Jose St.
UNLV's win probability against San Jose St has swung between 53% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 61% now.
UNLV's win probability against San Jose St has swung between 60% and 77% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 67% now.
UNLV's win probability against San Jose St has swung between 66% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 72% now.