Fresno St at San Diego St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Fresno St by 9.56
TOTAL POINTS
53
UPDATED
Sunday, October 11, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
San Diego St
Fresno St 
|
75
C
|
Overall |
82
B-
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
79
C+
|
|
71
C-
|
Offensive |
77
C+
|
|
66
D
|
Defensive |
82
B-
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Current) |
69
D+
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Future) |
75
C
|
RANKINGS
San Diego St
Fresno St
| 85 #109 overall |
Overall | 62 #68 overall |
| 110 #156 overall |
Power | 71 #78 overall |
| 100 #155 overall |
Offensive | 79 #95 overall |
| 116 #164 overall |
Defensive | 62 #66 overall |
| 19 #19 overall |
SoS (Current) | 105 #111 overall |
| 53 #53 overall |
SoS (Future) | 85 #85 overall |
Fresno St#6271%
San Diego St#8529%Wk 7 (Oct 11), 2026-27: Fresno St 71%, San Diego St 29% at San Diego St.
Fresno St's win probability against San Diego St is trending up — from 40% to 71% over the last 6 weeks.
Fresno St's win probability against San Diego St is trending up — from 46% to 76% over the last 6 weeks.
Fresno St's win probability against San Diego St is trending up — from 52% to 81% over the last 6 weeks.
Fresno St favored
San Diego St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At San Diego St | Neutral | At Fresno St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 28% | 34% | 39% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 39% | 45% | 51% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 40% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 32% | 37% | 43% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 47% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 49% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 7 | 2026-27 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
RECORDS
San Diego St
Fresno St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Overall |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
San Diego St
Fresno St
| #87 Texas St-San Marcos | Best Win | #132 San Jose St |
| #113 Toledo | Worst Loss | #27 Southern Cal |
| 33 pts vs #221 Portland St | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #381 Sacramento St |
| 52 pts vs #38 Oregon St | Largest MOD | 39 pts vs #27 Southern Cal |
OTHER STATISTICS
San Diego St
Fresno St
| 22.8 | Points per Game | 28.3 |
| 35 | Points Against | 20 |
| 32.3 | Home PPG | 39.3 |
| 25 | Home PA | 21.7 |
| 13.3 | Away PPG | 17.3 |
| 45 | Away PA | 18.3 |
| 23-11 | Opponent Record | 17-20 |
| 82.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 178.8 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
San Diego St
Fresno St
| Oct 10 | at Oregon St (4-2) | L14-66 | Oct 10 | vs #16 Boise St (5-1) | L31-38 |
| Oct 3 | vs Texas St-San Marcos (2-3) | W31-29 | Oct 3 | at Washington St (1-5) | W26-6 |
| Sep 26 | at Toledo (4-2) | L16-41 | Sep 26 | vs Rice (1-5) | W38-24 |
| Sep 19 | vs James Madison (6-0) | L13-26 | Sep 19 | at San Jose St (3-3) | W26-10 |
| Sep 12 | at #5 UCLA (5-0) | L10-28 | Sep 12 | vs Sacramento St (1-5) | W49-3 |
| Sep 5 | vs Portland St (2-4) | W53-20 | Sep 4 | at Southern Cal (6-1) | L0-39 |