Southern Illinois at Samford Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Southern Illinois by 7.77
TOTAL POINTS
46
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Samford
Southern Illinois 
|
72
C-
|
Overall |
90
A-
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
81
B-
|
Offensive |
91
A-
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
96
A
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
96
A
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
97
A+
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
77
C+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
93
A-
|
RANKINGS
Samford
Southern Illinois
| 89 #381 overall |
Overall | 29 #180 overall |
| 50 #192 overall |
Power | 18 #150 overall |
| 61 #208 overall |
Offensive | 26 #160 overall |
| 36 #174 overall |
Defensive | 12 #141 overall |
| 36 #173 overall |
SoS (Current) | 11 #123 overall |
| 16 #147 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 6 #121 overall |
Southern Illinois#2968%
Samford#8932%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Southern Illinois 68%, Samford 32% at Samford.
Southern Illinois' win probability against Samford is trending down — from 77% to 68% over the last 6 weeks.
Southern Illinois' win probability against Samford is trending down — from 81% to 73% over the last 6 weeks.
Southern Illinois' win probability against Samford is trending down — from 85% to 78% over the last 6 weeks.
Southern Illinois favored
Samford favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Samford | Neutral | At Southern Illinois |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 1 | 80% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 2 | 77% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 3 | 77% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 4 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 5 | 70% | 75% | 80% |
| Wk 6 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 7 | 77% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 8 | 70% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 9 | 68% | 73% | 78% |
RECORDS
Samford
Southern Illinois
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
4-5 (44.4%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Home |
2-2 (50%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
2-3 (40%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-5 (16.7%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Samford
Southern Illinois
| #359 Furman | Best Win | #171 SE Missouri St |
| #215 North Alabama | Worst Loss | #185 West Florida |
| 38 pts vs #623 VMI | Largest MOV | 40 pts vs #404 Murray St |
| 26 pts vs #95 Tennessee Tech | Largest MOD | 38 pts vs #40 Illinois |
OTHER STATISTICS
Samford
Southern Illinois
| 17.9 | Points per Game | 22.6 |
| 23.1 | Points Against | 26.3 |
| 28 | Home PPG | 21 |
| 20 | Home PA | 25 |
| 12.3 | Away PPG | 23.8 |
| 25.8 | Away PA | 27.4 |
| 32-32 | Opponent Record | 38-32 |
| 241.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 185.1 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | L 3 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Samford
Southern Illinois
| Oct 24 | at Furman (2-6) | W13-6 | Oct 24 | vs Northern Iowa (3-4) | W20-17 |
| Oct 17 | vs Mercer (6-2) | L21-31 | Oct 17 | vs Illinois St (6-2) | L14-35 |
| Oct 10 | at Chattanooga (5-3) | L3-19 | Oct 10 | at South Dakota (7-2) | L10-31 |
| Oct 3 | at Alabama-Birmingham (4-3) | L14-33 | Oct 3 | vs Youngstown St (6-2) | L16-28 |
| Sep 26 | vs VMI (0-8) | W45-7 | Sep 26 | at Murray St (1-7) | W46-6 |
| Sep 12 | at Tennessee Tech (7-1) | L19-45 | Sep 19 | at Illinois (4-3) | L10-48 |
| Sep 3 | vs Southern Illinois (4-5) | L18-22 | Sep 12 | vs SE Missouri St (5-3) | W34-20 |
| Aug 29 | North Alabama (4-4) | L10-22 | Sep 3 | at Samford (2-6) | W22-18 |