New Mexico St at Sam Houston St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
New Mexico St by 1.03
TOTAL POINTS
49
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Sam Houston St
New Mexico St 
|
61
D-
|
Overall |
64
D
|
|
64
D
|
Power |
67
D+
|
|
63
D-
|
Offensive |
68
D+
|
|
67
D+
|
Defensive |
67
D+
|
|
67
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
61
D-
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
62
D-
|
|
61
D-
|
SoR (Current) |
68
D+
|
|
61
D-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
66
D
|
RANKINGS
Sam Houston St
New Mexico St
| 136 #398 overall |
Overall | 124 #250 overall |
| 123 #130 overall |
Power | 113 #119 overall |
| 127 #144 overall |
Offensive | 111 #120 overall |
| 115 #122 overall |
Defensive | 113 #119 overall |
| 114 #125 overall |
SoS (Current) | 135 #175 overall |
| 124 #136 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 131 #146 overall |
New Mexico St#12452%
Sam Houston St#13648%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: New Mexico St 52%, Sam Houston St 48% at Sam Houston St.
New Mexico St's win probability against Sam Houston St has swung between 21% and 52% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.
New Mexico St's win probability against Sam Houston St has swung between 25% and 59% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 59% now.
New Mexico St's win probability against Sam Houston St has swung between 31% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.
New Mexico St favored
Sam Houston St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Sam Houston St | Neutral | At New Mexico St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 59% | 65% | 71% |
| Wk 1 | 58% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 2 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 3 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 4 | 21% | 25% | 31% |
| Wk 5 | 25% | 30% | 36% |
| Wk 6 | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 7 | 35% | 41% | 47% |
| Wk 8 | 47% | 53% | 60% |
| Wk 9 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
RECORDS
Sam Houston St
New Mexico St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-6 (14.3%) |
Overall |
3-4 (42.9%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-3 (50%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Sam Houston St
New Mexico St
| #341 Nicholls St | Best Win | #222 Western Kentucky |
| #254 Troy | Worst Loss | #248 Hawai`i |
| 59 pts vs #341 Nicholls St | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #548 Mercyhurst |
| 35 pts vs #17 Texas Tech | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #41 New Mexico |
OTHER STATISTICS
Sam Houston St
New Mexico St
| 20.1 | Points per Game | 24.6 |
| 25.3 | Points Against | 25.4 |
| 25.8 | Home PPG | 34.3 |
| 17.3 | Home PA | 23 |
| 12.7 | Away PPG | 17.3 |
| 36 | Away PA | 27.3 |
| 28-23 | Opponent Record | 19-32 |
| 187.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 244.6 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Sam Houston St
New Mexico St
| Oct 21 | vs New Mexico St (3-4) | L24-30 | Oct 21 | at Sam Houston St (1-6) | W30-24 |
| Oct 14 | vs Western Kentucky (3-4) | L3-16 | Oct 7 | at Florida Int'l (3-4) | L3-22 |
| Oct 8 | at Liberty (6-1) | L3-35 | Oct 1 | vs Western Kentucky (3-4) | W34-13 |
| Sep 26 | at #17 Texas Tech (6-1) | L14-49 | Sep 26 | vs New Mexico (6-1) | L18-42 |
| Sep 19 | vs Nicholls St (3-5) | W59-0 | Sep 12 | at Hawai`i (2-6) | L19-29 |
| Sep 12 | vs Tulsa (4-4) | L17-23 | Sep 5 | vs Mercyhurst (1-7) | W51-14 |
| Sep 5 | at Troy (3-4) | L21-24 | Aug 29 | at Florida St (3-4) | L17-34 |