Middle Tennessee St at Sam Houston St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Sam Houston St by 3.92
TOTAL POINTS
49
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Sam Houston St
Middle Tennessee St 
|
61
D-
|
Overall |
71
C-
|
|
64
D
|
Power |
63
D-
|
|
63
D-
|
Offensive |
65
D
|
|
67
D+
|
Defensive |
63
D-
|
|
67
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
69
D+
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
61
D-
|
|
61
D-
|
SoR (Current) |
71
C-
|
|
61
D-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
68
D+
|
RANKINGS
Sam Houston St
Middle Tennessee St
| 136 #398 overall |
Overall | 100 #138 overall |
| 123 #130 overall |
Power | 128 #136 overall |
| 127 #144 overall |
Offensive | 122 #137 overall |
| 115 #122 overall |
Defensive | 126 #135 overall |
| 114 #125 overall |
SoS (Current) | 106 #112 overall |
| 124 #136 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 135 #152 overall |
Sam Houston St#13659%
Middle Tennessee St#10041%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Sam Houston St 59%, Middle Tennessee St 41% at Sam Houston St.
Sam Houston St's win probability against Middle Tennessee St has swung between 41% and 81% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 47% now.
Sam Houston St's win probability against Middle Tennessee St has swung between 47% and 84% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 53% now.
Sam Houston St's win probability against Middle Tennessee St has swung between 53% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 59% now.
Sam Houston St favored
Middle Tennessee St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Middle Tennessee St | Neutral | At Sam Houston St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 1 | 34% | 40% | 46% |
| Wk 2 | 36% | 42% | 48% |
| Wk 3 | 41% | 47% | 53% |
| Wk 4 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 5 | 59% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 6 | 81% | 84% | 88% |
| Wk 7 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
| Wk 8 | 59% | 65% | 71% |
| Wk 9 | 47% | 53% | 59% |
RECORDS
Sam Houston St
Middle Tennessee St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-6 (14.3%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-2 (0%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-1 (80%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Sam Houston St
Middle Tennessee St
| #341 Nicholls St | Best Win | #155 Nevada |
| #254 Troy | Worst Loss | #134 Marshall |
| 59 pts vs #341 Nicholls St | Largest MOV | 24 pts vs #404 Murray St |
| 35 pts vs #17 Texas Tech | Largest MOD | 55 pts vs #99 Kansas |
OTHER STATISTICS
Sam Houston St
Middle Tennessee St
| 20.1 | Points per Game | 23.3 |
| 25.3 | Points Against | 27.6 |
| 25.8 | Home PPG | 32.7 |
| 17.3 | Home PA | 21.3 |
| 12.7 | Away PPG | 16.3 |
| 36 | Away PA | 32.3 |
| 28-23 | Opponent Record | 22-28 |
| 187.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 177.4 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Sam Houston St
Middle Tennessee St
| Oct 21 | vs New Mexico St (3-4) | L24-30 | Oct 20 | at Florida Int'l (3-4) | W26-23 |
| Oct 14 | vs Western Kentucky (3-4) | L3-16 | Oct 13 | vs Delaware (3-4) | W33-30 |
| Oct 8 | at Liberty (6-1) | L3-35 | Oct 3 | at Kansas (3-4) | L0-55 |
| Sep 26 | at #17 Texas Tech (6-1) | L14-49 | Sep 26 | at Jacksonville St (5-2) | L13-23 |
| Sep 19 | vs Nicholls St (3-5) | W59-0 | Sep 19 | vs Nevada (3-4) | W27-20 |
| Sep 12 | vs Tulsa (4-4) | L17-23 | Sep 12 | at Marshall (4-3) | L26-28 |
| Sep 5 | at Troy (3-4) | L21-24 | Sep 5 | vs Murray St (1-7) | W38-14 |