Virginia at SMU Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
SMU by 7.41
TOTAL POINTS
51
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Virginia
SMU 
|
74
C
|
Overall |
91
A-
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
80
B-
|
Offensive |
89
B+
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
86
B
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
83
B-
|
|
78
C+
|
SoR (Current) |
92
A-
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
92
A-
|
RANKINGS
Virginia
SMU
| 88 #110 overall |
Overall | 29 #29 overall |
| 54 #54 overall |
Power | 38 #38 overall |
| 68 #68 overall |
Offensive | 37 #37 overall |
| 41 #41 overall |
Defensive | 47 #47 overall |
| 87 #87 overall |
SoS (Current) | 71 #71 overall |
| 72 #72 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 58 #58 overall |
SMU#2967%
Virginia#8833%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: SMU 67%, Virginia 33% at SMU.
SMU's win probability against Virginia has swung between 14% and 55% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.
SMU's win probability against Virginia has swung between 18% and 61% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 61% now.
SMU's win probability against Virginia has swung between 23% and 67% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 67% now.
SMU favored
Virginia favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Virginia | Neutral | At SMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 1 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 2 | 53% | 60% | 65% |
| Wk 3 | 44% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 4 | 39% | 45% | 52% |
| Wk 5 | 14% | 18% | 23% |
| Wk 6 | 30% | 36% | 42% |
| Wk 7 | 30% | 36% | 42% |
| Wk 8 | 46% | 52% | 58% |
| Wk 9 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
RECORDS
Virginia
SMU
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-4 (50%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Home |
5-0 (100%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Virginia
SMU
| #100 North Carolina St | Best Win | #66 Boston College |
| #88 Florida St | Worst Loss | #43 Louisville |
| 56 pts vs #495 Norfolk St | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #178 UC-Davis |
| 31 pts vs #88 Florida St | Largest MOD | 10 pts vs #43 Louisville |
OTHER STATISTICS
Virginia
SMU
| 28.3 | Points per Game | 36.4 |
| 19.6 | Points Against | 21.1 |
| 35.8 | Home PPG | 39.4 |
| 11.6 | Home PA | 16.6 |
| 10 | Away PPG | 29 |
| 30.5 | Away PA | 32.5 |
| 32-26 | Opponent Record | 25-27 |
| 141.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 125.9 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 4 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Virginia
SMU
| Oct 23 | vs Duke (5-2) | L16-19 | Oct 24 | vs California (3-5) | W59-20 |
| Oct 17 | at SMU (6-1) | L13-23 | Oct 17 | vs Virginia (4-4) | W23-13 |
| Oct 10 | vs Syracuse (3-4) | W28-25 | Oct 3 | vs Boston College (4-3) | W25-16 |
| Oct 3 | at Florida St (3-4) | L7-38 | Sep 26 | vs Missouri St (2-5) | W34-24 |
| Sep 26 | vs Delaware (3-4) | W42-3 | Sep 19 | at Louisville (4-3) | L31-41 |
| Sep 19 | West Virginia (5-3) | L27-38 | Sep 12 | vs UC-Davis (5-3) | W56-10 |
| Sep 11 | vs Norfolk St (4-4) | W59-3 | Sep 7 | at Florida St (3-4) | W27-24 |
| Aug 29 | vs North Carolina St (3-4) | W34-8 |