California at SMU Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
SMU by 22.7
TOTAL POINTS
57
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
California
SMU 
|
75
C
|
Overall |
91
A-
|
|
71
C-
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
73
C-
|
Offensive |
89
B+
|
|
70
C-
|
Defensive |
86
B
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
83
B-
|
|
75
C
|
SoR (Current) |
92
A-
|
|
72
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
92
A-
|
RANKINGS
California
SMU
| 85 #106 overall |
Overall | 29 #29 overall |
| 99 #101 overall |
Power | 38 #38 overall |
| 93 #96 overall |
Offensive | 37 #37 overall |
| 104 #106 overall |
Defensive | 47 #47 overall |
| 54 #54 overall |
SoS (Current) | 71 #71 overall |
| 68 #68 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 58 #58 overall |
SMU#2990%
California#8510%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: SMU 90%, California 10% at SMU.
SMU's win probability against California has swung between 51% and 84% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 84% now.
SMU's win probability against California has swung between 57% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 88% now.
SMU's win probability against California has swung between 63% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 90% now.
SMU favored
California favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At California | Neutral | At SMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 1 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 2 | 77% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 3 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 4 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 5 | 58% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 6 | 68% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 7 | 51% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 8 | 67% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 9 | 84% | 88% | 90% |
RECORDS
California
SMU
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Home |
5-0 (100%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
California
SMU
| #58 Virginia Tech | Best Win | #66 Boston College |
| #94 UNLV | Worst Loss | #43 Louisville |
| 42 pts vs #547 Wagner | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #178 UC-Davis |
| 39 pts vs #29 SMU | Largest MOD | 10 pts vs #43 Louisville |
OTHER STATISTICS
California
SMU
| 23.4 | Points per Game | 36.4 |
| 31.6 | Points Against | 21.1 |
| 23 | Home PPG | 39.4 |
| 27.4 | Home PA | 16.6 |
| 24 | Away PPG | 29 |
| 38.7 | Away PA | 32.5 |
| 37-21 | Opponent Record | 25-27 |
| 114.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 125.9 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 4 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
California
SMU
| Oct 24 | at SMU (6-1) | L20-59 | Oct 24 | vs California (3-5) | W59-20 |
| Oct 17 | vs #16 Wake Forest (6-1) | L7-41 | Oct 17 | vs Virginia (4-4) | W23-13 |
| Oct 10 | vs Virginia Tech (6-2) | W25-20 | Oct 3 | vs Boston College (4-3) | W25-16 |
| Oct 3 | at UNLV (4-3) | L31-39 | Sep 26 | vs Missouri St (2-5) | W34-24 |
| Sep 25 | vs Clemson (4-3) | L10-24 | Sep 19 | at Louisville (4-3) | L31-41 |
| Sep 19 | vs Wagner (1-7) | W49-7 | Sep 12 | vs UC-Davis (5-3) | W56-10 |
| Sep 12 | at Syracuse (3-4) | W21-18 | Sep 7 | at Florida St (3-4) | W27-24 |
| Sep 5 | vs #2 UCLA (7-0) | L24-45 |