Western Illinois at SE Missouri St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Western Illinois by 5.84
TOTAL POINTS
51
UPDATED
Sunday, October 11, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Western Illinois
SE Missouri St 
|
83
B-
|
Overall |
87
B+
|
|
96
A
|
Power |
89
B+
|
|
95
A
|
Offensive |
86
B
|
|
96
A
|
Defensive |
91
A-
|
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Future) |
79
C+
|
RANKINGS
Western Illinois
SE Missouri St
| 54 #262 overall |
Overall | 41 #228 overall |
| 10 #160 overall |
Power | 34 #245 overall |
| 13 #163 overall |
Offensive | 43 #267 overall |
| 10 #162 overall |
Defensive | 26 #228 overall |
| 74 #229 overall |
SoS (Current) | 36 #169 overall |
| 80 #234 overall |
SoS (Future) | 67 #215 overall |
Western Illinois#5463%
SE Missouri St#4137%Wk 7 (Oct 11), 2026-27: Western Illinois 63%, SE Missouri St 37% at SE Missouri St.
Western Illinois' win probability against SE Missouri St is trending up — from 34% to 63% over the last 6 weeks.
Western Illinois' win probability against SE Missouri St is trending up — from 40% to 69% over the last 6 weeks.
Western Illinois' win probability against SE Missouri St is trending up — from 46% to 74% over the last 6 weeks.
Western Illinois favored
SE Missouri St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At SE Missouri St | Neutral | At Western Illinois |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 33% | 39% | 45% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 25% | 30% | 36% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 34% | 40% | 46% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 32% | 37% | 43% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 42% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 53% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 47% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 50% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 7 | 2026-27 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
RECORDS
Western Illinois
SE Missouri St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-3 (50%) |
Overall |
3-3 (50%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Away |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-2 (0%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Western Illinois
SE Missouri St
| #344 Northwestern IA | Best Win | #259 Indiana St |
| #192 North Alabama | Worst Loss | #232 Southern Illinois |
| 57 pts vs #614 Morehead St | Largest MOV | 18 pts vs #300 Central Arkansas |
| 31 pts vs #158 Illinois St | Largest MOD | 28 pts vs #51 Iowa St |
OTHER STATISTICS
Western Illinois
SE Missouri St
| 31.8 | Points per Game | 22.5 |
| 22.8 | Points Against | 24.8 |
| 40.5 | Home PPG | 22 |
| 19.5 | Home PA | 14.5 |
| 14.5 | Away PPG | 22.8 |
| 29.5 | Away PA | 30 |
| 19-17 | Opponent Record | 14-22 |
| 295.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 246.7 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Western Illinois
SE Missouri St
| Oct 3 | vs Tennessee St (1-5) | W28-21 | Oct 10 | at Lindenwood (1-4) | W38-27 |
| Sep 26 | at North Alabama (4-2) | L20-23 | Sep 26 | vs West Florida (3-2) | L17-20 |
| Sep 19 | vs Morehead St (1-5) | W59-2 | Sep 19 | vs Central Arkansas (2-4) | W27-9 |
| Sep 12 | at #25 Wisconsin (4-1) | L9-36 | Sep 12 | at Southern Illinois (3-4) | L20-34 |
| Sep 5 | vs Illinois St (4-2) | L10-41 | Sep 5 | at Iowa St (3-3) | L10-38 |
| Aug 27 | vs Northwestern IA (5-2) | W65-14 | Aug 29 | at Indiana St (2-5) | W23-21 |