Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: SE Missouri St 53%, Western Illinois 47% at SE Missouri St.
SE Missouri St's win probability against Western Illinois has swung between 35% and 53% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 41% now.
SE Missouri St's win probability against Western Illinois has swung between 41% and 59% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 47% now.
SE Missouri St's win probability against Western Illinois has swung between 47% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 53% now.