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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Army 81%, Rice 19% at Rice.
Army's win probability against Rice has swung between 69% and 84% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 81% now.
Army's win probability against Rice has swung between 75% and 87% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 85% now.
Army's win probability against Rice has swung between 79% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 88% now.