Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Pomona-Pitzer 93%, Willamette 7% at Pomona-Pitzer.
Pomona-Pitzer's win probability against Willamette has swung between 73% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 88% now.
Pomona-Pitzer's win probability against Willamette has swung between 78% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 91% now.
Pomona-Pitzer's win probability against Willamette has swung between 82% and 93% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 93% now.