Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Yale 54%, Pennsylvania 46% at Pennsylvania.
Yale's win probability against Pennsylvania has swung between 36% and 64% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 54% now.
Yale's win probability against Pennsylvania has swung between 41% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.
Yale's win probability against Pennsylvania has swung between 48% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.